WC 26
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Power Index

Every team ranked by composite intelligence. FIFA ranking, group draw difficulty, squad depth, global fan base, and World Cup pedigree — weighted into a single score.

FIFA Ranking 45%Squad Depth 20%Fan Base 20%WC History 15%Group Draw ref
👑ELITE(6)
⭐CONTENDER(8)
⚡DARK HORSE(9)
🎯UNDERDOG(25)
1
BRA flag
10
Brazil👑 ELITE

Group F · CONMEBOL

9.8
2
ARG flag
10
Argentina👑 ELITE

Group J · CONMEBOL

9.4
3
FRA flag
10
France👑 ELITE

Group I · UEFA

9.3
4
ENG flag
10
England👑 ELITE

Group L · UEFA

9.2
5
GER flag
10
Germany👑 ELITE

Group D · UEFA

8.8
6
ESP flag
10
Spain👑 ELITE

Group H · UEFA

8.5
7
NED flag
10
Netherlands⭐ CONTENDER

Group E · UEFA

8.4
8
BEL flag
10
Belgium⭐ CONTENDER

Group G · UEFA

8.3
9
POR flag
10
Portugal⭐ CONTENDER

Group K · UEFA

8.2
10
COL flag
10
Colombia⭐ CONTENDER

Group K · CONMEBOL

7.7
11
MAR flag
10
Morocco⭐ CONTENDER

Group F · CAF

7.5
12
MEX flag
10
Mexico⭐ CONTENDER

Group A · CONCACAF

7.3
13
CRO flag
10
Croatia⭐ CONTENDER

Group L · UEFA

7.3
14
USA flag
10
United States⭐ CONTENDER

Group C · CONCACAF

7.2
15
SUI flag
10
Switzerland⚡ DARK HORSE

Group B · UEFA

6.6
16
URU flag
10
Uruguay⚡ DARK HORSE

Group H · CONMEBOL

6.6
17
JPN flag
10
Japan⚡ DARK HORSE

Group E · AFC

6.3
18
KOR flag
10
South Korea⚡ DARK HORSE

Group A · AFC

5.9
19
IRN flag
10
Iran⚡ DARK HORSE

Group G · AFC

5.8
20
AUS flag
10
Australia⚡ DARK HORSE

Group C · AFC

5.4
21
SEN flag
10
Senegal⚡ DARK HORSE

Group I · CAF

5.3
22
CAN flag
10
Canada⚡ DARK HORSE

Group B · CONCACAF

5.2
23
AUT flag
10
Austria⚡ DARK HORSE

Group J · UEFA

5.2
24
EGY flag
10
Egypt🎯 UNDERDOG

Group G · CAF

4.8
25
SCO flag
10
Scotland🎯 UNDERDOG

Group F · UEFA

4.7
26
ALG flag
10
Algeria🎯 UNDERDOG

Group J · CAF

4.7
27
ECU flag
10
Ecuador🎯 UNDERDOG

Group D · CONMEBOL

4.5
28
NOR flag
10
Norway🎯 UNDERDOG

Group I · UEFA

4.3
29
TUN flag
10
Tunisia🎯 UNDERDOG

Group E · CAF

4
30
QAT flag
10
Qatar🎯 UNDERDOG

Group B · AFC

3.9
31
CIV flag
10
Ivory Coast🎯 UNDERDOG

Group D · CAF

3.9
32
PAR flag
10
Paraguay🎯 UNDERDOG

Group C · CONMEBOL

3.2
33
GHA flag
10
Ghana🎯 UNDERDOG

Group L · CAF

3.1
34
PAN flag
10
Panama🎯 UNDERDOG

Group L · CONCACAF

3.1
35
KSA flag
10
Saudi Arabia🎯 UNDERDOG

Group H · AFC

3
36
TUR flag
10
Türkiye🎯 UNDERDOG

Group C · UEFA

2.9
37
SWE flag
10
Sweden🎯 UNDERDOG

Group E · UEFA

2.9
38
NZL flag
10
New Zealand🎯 UNDERDOG

Group G · OFC

2.9
39
RSA flag
10
South Africa🎯 UNDERDOG

Group A · CAF

2.8
40
CZE flag
10
Czech Republic🎯 UNDERDOG

Group A · UEFA

2.6
41
BIH flag
10
Bosnia and Herzegovina🎯 UNDERDOG

Group B · UEFA

2.4
42
IRQ flag
10
Iraq🎯 UNDERDOG

Group I · AFC

2.3
43
JOR flag
10
Jordan🎯 UNDERDOG

Group J · AFC

2.3
44
COD flag
10
DR Congo🎯 UNDERDOG

Group K · CAF

2.3
45
UZB flag
10
Uzbekistan🎯 UNDERDOG

Group K · AFC

2.3
46
CUW flag
10
Curaçao🎯 UNDERDOG

Group D · CONCACAF

1.8
47
HAI flag
10
Haiti🎯 UNDERDOG

Group F · CONCACAF

1.8
48
CPV flag
10
Cape Verde🎯 UNDERDOG

Group H · CAF

1.6

Key Signals

🏆 Title Contenders

Brazil9.8Argentina9.4France9.3England9.2Germany8.8Spain8.5

⚡ Dark Horses to Watch

Switzerland6.6Uruguay6.6Japan6.3South Korea5.9Iran5.8

🔥 Toughest Groups

Group F23.8Group L22.7Group G21.8Group J21.6
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Methodology (WC26-PI-v1.1)

Last updated: 2026-04-15

PowerIndex = 0.45 × R + 0.2 × S + 0.2 × M + 0.15 × H

Group Difficulty shown per team for context — not included in total (v1.1)

R
FIFA Ranking Score45%

FIFA/Coca-Cola World Ranking position mapped to 0–10 via defined thresholds (1–5→10, 6–10→9, etc).

Source: fifa.com/fifa-world-ranking

G
Group Draw Difficultyref only

Shown per team for context. Not included in Power Index total (removed v1.1 — group draw reflects circumstance, not team strength).

Source: Final Draw, Dec 2025

S
Squad Depth20%

v1.0: derived from FIFA ranking tier. v1.1 planned: TransferMarkt normalized market value.

Source: Ranking-derived (v1.0)

M
Market Demand20%

Editorial estimate of global fan base, social media following, TV viewership, and prior ticket demand.

Source: Editorial corpus

H
World Cup History15%

Weighted tournament performance: titles ×3, finals ×2, semi-finals ×1.5, quarter-finals ×1. Normalized.

Source: FIFA.com historical records

ℹ️ Tier Classification

Elite (≥8.0) · Contender (≥6.5) · Dark Horse (≥5.0) · Underdog (<5.0)

Limitations (v1.0)

Squad Depth is ranking-derived, not market-value based. No recent form data (W/L/D last 10 matches). Market Demand is editorial, not fully data-driven. Group Difficulty doesn't account for unresolved playoff teams.

Power Index WC26-PI-v1.1 is SeatNav's deterministic intelligence score. Same inputs always produce the same output. Methodology is public and versionable. SeatNav is not affiliated with FIFA.